Düsseldorf / Düsseldorf 14KM

The 2017 Tour de France kicks off with a 14km Time Trial around Dusseldorf. The obvious favourite for this stage is Tony Martin, but there are plenty of challengers. Chances are part of the race will be wet, so that makes it even difficult as some riders may get the good conditions and some the bad. So let’s look at the contenders.

Tony Martin ($2.60/$1.40)

Has been training for this the entire year. He’s had a few 2nd places over short time trials this year. I’m not going to look at his performances this year when looking at this because with someone that is targeting this race, they won’t be performing well. The fact that he only just beat Jasha Sutterlin over a longer distance in the German nationals suggests that he is more suited to the shorter distances – taking nothing away from Sutterlin, it was a good ride, but I just think Martin has fine tuned himself enough like Rohan Dennis did in 2015.

Primoz Roglic ($3.50/$1.60)

Roglic is one of Martin’s main challengers. Coming over to the sport from Ski Jumping, Roglic has taken the cycling world by storm. He’s won a lot of time trials already, over short distances and longer distances. He has the ability to win this and it wouldn’t be a shock if he did.

Jos Van Emden ($6/$2.20)

Van Emden will be suited to this course. He broke through for a massive win in the Giro d’Italia this year over 29km. He finished 5th in the time trial around Utrecht in 2015, which was over 13.9km, basically the same distance as this one. Can he go 4 spots better?

Stefan Kung ($8/$2.25) 

Kung is quality and is an up and coming star. He finished 2nd in the 28km time trial in the Tour de Suisse and also over the 6km opening time trial. He’s also had other high results over the last couple of years. He can easily challenge on this course.

Stephen Cummings ($21/$5)

After fracturing his left collarbone and scapula as well as sternum back in April, he has come back on fire. He won the British time trial championships and also the road race. He is also suited to these short distances. He is a genuine chance to win.

Jasha Sutterlin ($21/$4.75)

Sutterlin has finished 2nd to Tony Martin the last two years in the German National championships. He is a solid time trialist and is suited to this course.

Michael Matthews ($23/$5.50)

Matthews time trialing at the top level has come on the last two years. No one can forget his win in Paris-Nice over 6km in 2016 beating Dumoulin. Since then he has finished top 10 in a few time trials, most notably his 5th place finish over 14km in this year’s Paris-Nice that finished on Mont Brouilly. He beat the likes of Porte and Izagirre. If it’s wet, he will not be afraid to take risks. Genuine chance.

Edvald Boasson-Hagen ($41/$11)

Have to mention the Norwegian. He’s been in great form lately and on this course he can do damage if at his best which he looks he’s close to.

Fabio Felline ($81/$21)

Finally Felline deserves a mention. He’s been on the podium a couple of times over short distances, and broke through for a win earlier this year in Romandie over 4.8km. He’ll take risks and if on form, has a good chance to podium.

Other riders to look out for on this stage are Jonathan Castroviejo, Peter Sagan, Patrick Bevin, Luke Durbridge, Geraint Thomas.

Predictions

Can’t go against Tony Martin.

  1. Tony Martin
  2. Primoz Roglic
  3. Jasha Sutterlin
  4. Jos Van Emden
  5. Stefan Kung
  6. Jonathan Castroviejo
  7. Stephen Cummings
  8. Michael Matthews
  9. Fabio Felline
  10. Robert Gesink