Article submitted by twitter user @cyclingbolar

To conclude the tour we have the Kinglake circuit first introduced last year. It is going to be hard for Esteban Chaves to lose the yellow and he should be crowned the winner of the Tour tomorrow. Even if he does lose it, which is highly unlikely, one of his team-mates will take it.

There’s a good chance that an early break will make the end of the stage. That’s what happened last year with Ian Stannard attacking his breakaway companions to take a win. So that’s what we’ll focus on as I believe someone from the early break will win this stage.

We firstly look at Nathan Earle (Israel Cycling Academy). He got caught out on stage 1 and from there his tour was over. He looked insanely strong today and may be down enough on GC to get in the break. He’s probably the stage favourite if he makes the break.

Brad Evans will definitely try to get in the break for Mobius-Bridgelane. He has been in the early breaks and will look to secure the King of the Mountains jersey.

Aqua Blue Sport took stage 1 and they have a rider in Peter Koning that is a chance. Also US National Champion Larry Warbasse.

I have mentioned him a few times already but JLT Condor’s Ian Bibby is also another that this stage can suit.

Bennelong Swiss-Wellness have Joseph Cooper who was third overall two years ago as well as maybe Steele Von Hoff and Cam Bayly. Von Hoff doesn’t need to get in the move as his sprint competition should be sealed, but he might try and sure it up.

Other riders that will try to get in the break and are a chance to take the stage win are Patrick Lane and James Whelan (Australia), Etienne Van Empel (Roompot Nederlandse Loterij), Cyrus Monk & Jesse Featonby (EF Drapac), Ryan Christensen (Olivers Real Food) and Michael Vink & Tom Robinson (Brisbane Continental Team).

If the break doesn’t make it then you need to look at riders like Esteban Chaves & Damien Howson (Mitchelton-Scott), Ruben Guerreiro (Trek-Segafredo), Alexander Evans (Mobius-BridgeLane) and Chris Harper (Bennelong Swiss-Wellness). Guerreiro is one to note because if the break are up the road, then he will definitely attack on the final ascent to try and get on the podium.

There is a possibility that Trek-Segafredo may chase to try and get Guerreiro on the podium and try and pick up some bonus seconds, but I think it will be a fight between Joseph Cooper and Nathan Earle from the break.

  1. Joseph Cooper
  2. Nathan Earle
  3. Brad Evans