Article submitted by twitter user @CyclingBolar
As expected it was a nervous day and there were crashes everywhere during stage 1. Despite now having a stage behind them, it will still be a nervous stage as the roads are narrow in the back part of the race.
There’s a lot of twists and turns and roundabouts near the end of this stage, so nerves will still play a part and again, the lead out will be important. There’s a small rise to the line about 1.8% in the last km, which might bother some.
Fernando Gaviria – Has one of the best leadouts here – probably the best with all 7 riders behind him. Quick-Step Floors dominated the closing kilometres of yesterday’s stage and will do so again, and in this technical finale, you expect them to deliver Gaviria to the right spot and he has the speed to finish it off. He can also handle the rise.
Arnaud Demare – Didn’t get to see his sprint today as he got caught up in the crash. Whilst he didn’t hit the deck, he conserved his energy rolling into the line. I expect a bounce back day and it will be good to see him and Gaviria go head to head.
Peter Sagan – Was strong today. Showed he is consistent and can be up there in the sprints. Gaviria is faster than him though and Sagan needs it a bit harder. Will be challenging but can’t see him winning.
Mark Cavendish – Despite a great ride from Jay Thomson to control the peloton most of the day, his team got lost in the hectic finale. With the last few km’s being technical, I see the same thing happening again.
Andre Greipel – See above.
Dylan Groenewegan – In a finale as technical as this, he doesn’t have the lead out to win. He needs to find a good wheel and that will be hard to do. His time will come, it just won’t be today.
Marcel Kittel – Showed his fast speed today. Started the sprint from way back. With no lead out, he will be too far back again and won’t be in a position to win, especially with the final incline.
Alexander Kristoff – Showed some speed today to be up there. This is a finish that suits him. Not sure he wins, but a podium is within reach.
Christophe Laporte – Great 5th place today and a finish that suits him. Won’t win, but a very good shot for the podium if he can repeat yesterday’s performance.
John Degenkolb – Showed something for the first time this year. Needs it a bit harder but the finish will suit him.
Hard to look past Gaviria here. Perfect finish for him. I hope to see Demare go head to head with him so we can get a look at the form Demare is in.
- Fernando Gaviria
- Arnaud Demare
- Christophe Laporte
Horrible day betting wise. Overrated Cavendish and Demare got caught up in a crash.
You can find the odds at Crownbet Australia
Fernando Gaviria to win @ $2.50 (5)
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