Article submitted by twitter user @cyclingbolar

Stage 4 finally has an easier run in for the sprinters. The final 3-4 kilometres are on the same road with no road furniture to contend with.

Fernando Gaviria – Showed he was the fastest with a lead out on stage 1. Demare and Groenewegen got lost so it was hard to see how fast they were compared to him. Gaviria deserves stage favoritism because of his lead out. He won’t be crashing in the final km again.

Dylan Groenewegen – Aside from Viviani, Groenewegen has been the form sprinter this year. He arrives in form. With this finale not being technical, his lack of team won’t go against him. He’ll be able to do what he has done all year – rely on only a couple of team-mates to guide him in the right spot. As he should start his sprint with the others, he is going to be hard to beat.

Marcel Kittel – Showed he has his speed on stage 1 and the fact it’s not technical will help him. However, you can’t ignore the year he has had. He gets the right leadout and then gets lost or starts from too far back. If he starts his sprint with everyone else, he will probably win. But he has shown this year he can’t do that.

Arnaud Demare – Got caught up in a crash on stage one and then started his sprint way too early in a chaotic lead out. As things should be calmer, he shouldn’t panic like he did and should have someone there to guide him. Big threat for this stage.

Mark Cavendish – His team lost themselves on stage 1 and stage 2. This stage suits him. He will be dropped in the right spot and he showed he is going okay before the race finishing second to Viviani in a sprint. The main question you need to ask yourself. Does Cav still have the speed to win?

Andre Greipel – Will get dropped in the right spot. Does he have the speed to win?

Peter Sagan – Not a finish for him. He’s not faster than some of the sprinters here. Needs it tougher.

Sonny Colbrelli – 2nd the other day, had to mention him because of it. See Sagan.

Bets

Was a winning day yesterday with BMC. Two in a row after a disappointing stage 1. Look to keep the momentum going.

Dylan Groenewegen @ $5.50 (2)

I think Groenewegen will take this. He should find the right spot and I believe he will be too fast for everyone.

You can find the odds at Crownbet Australia

 

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