Article submitted by Twitter user @cyclingbolar

Stage 5 Review

Was a good result yesterday. Tipped Sagan but didn’t have money on him, but the head to head bet won.

Stage 6 Preview

On to today. The last time the race finished on the Mur de Bretagne, Alexis Vuillermoz attacked half way up and held on to win. Before that Cadel Evans outsprinted Alberto Contador.

This time, the climb is ridden twice and the first time up should be ridden fast which will shed a few riders.

Sagan is flying at the moment, so the question is, will he be able to hold on to take another victory?

Peter Sagan ($6.50/$2.25) – Due to him flying at the moment, I do have to mention him. He was 4th here in 2015. If riders attack early on the steep stuff then he won’t make it. If it’s ridden at a fast tempo he can probably hold on and then if he has the legs outsprint everyone. Depends if anyone is daring enough to attack.

Greg Van Avermaet ($21/$5.50) – 6th here last time. He has to fight to save yellow so he will be up there. Won’t win and won’t podium but he will give it a try.

Alejandro Valverde ($4.50/$1.75) – If it was earlier in the year, I would say Valverde 100% takes it. But it’s not. We are not sure where his form is at, but this climb suits him and he will go for it.

Julian Alaphilippe ($4.25/$1.65) – Showed some promise today. Started his sprint from a far way back though. Quick-Step are in a good situation because they have a two-pronged attack with Alaphilippe and Gilbert.

Philippe Gilbert ($15/$4.50) – I expect one to attack early and one to sit on for a counter attack. They really should have Gilbert attack on the steep part and hold off Alaphilippe for the sprint or counter attack. If they do it this way then Gilbert could hold on and win ala Vuillermoz.

Daniel Martin ($13/$4.25) – Is flying at the moment. Suits him perfectly. If this does come down to a Alaphilippe, Martin, Valverde etc sprint then Martin is a great chance of taking it. He can also attack early like he did last time. (He finished 5 seconds behind Vuillermoz and 5 ahead of the peloton).

Adam Yates ($15/$4.50) – Yates was 7th here last time and he is a better rider this year. He is not afraid to attack so I expect him to attack as soon as they start the climb and he is strong enough to go away especially if other riders look at each other.

Primoz Roglic $15/$4.50 – A dark horse here. Wouldn’t be shocked if he puts in one of his power attacks and wins.

Alexis Vuillermoz ($34/$9) – Have to mention him as reigning winner on this climb. Not sure he has the form though.

Jelle Vanendert ($51/$13) – In good form and loves finishes like these.

Vincenzo Nibali ($67/$17) – Looked great today. Isn’t afraid to attack.

David Gaudu is the hometown rider today. Expect him to be lively. Whilst he is going to be a classy rider, I think it’s too early for him to outfox everyone here.

Tips 

I think Valverde takes it.

  1. Alejandro Valverde
  2. Daniel Martin
  3. Jelle Vanendert

Bets

For any head to head bets I may do later today, keep an eye on my twitter @cyclingbolar

Bets I’m on at Crownbet Australia

Jelle Vanendert top 3 @ $13 (1)

TOUR DE FRANCE HUB – KEY LINKS

Yellow Jersey Preview
Green Jersey Preview
King of The Mountains Preview
White Jersey Preview
Stage by Stage Analysis