Article submitted by twitter user @cyclingbolar

This short 108km stage is going to be ridden fast from the outset. It was used in this years Critierium du Dauphine. A break of  15 riders got clear but held mostly a 2 minute advantage all day. At the bottom of the final climb, Pello Bilbao had a 30 second break on the peloton, but it was reduced so much that only the GC guys were at the head of the race without team-mates that he could hold on and take a memorable stage victory.

This stage shows that if you get in the early move and you are a decent climber, you can hang on. It all depends on what happens with the GC guys. Sky needs to be attacked so we could see the stronger teams with 2 riders in contention attack, or it could be similar to today.

If it is ridden like today, then the following riders will try and get in the break to take victory and maybe go for the King of the Mountains jersey. It will be hard to see any from yesterday back up, but Julian Alaphilippe may intend to pick up some more points for the King of the Mountains jersey that he currently wears.

Pawel Poljanski – Bora had two riders up the road today. It would make sense that Poljanski tries today

Romain Sicard – Direct Energie had two riders in the break and they tried to get Sicard in there early. With the fresh legs, expect the Frenchman to get in there today.

Gorka Izagirre – His brother was in there yesterday and couldn’t quite do it. Izagirre was dropped early and would have conserved energy. Bahrain want riders in the break as potential help for Nibali, and it’s the Izagirre brothers that will be there. It’s Gorka’s turn today.

Jelle Vanendert & Thomas De Gendt – Lotto Soudal didn’t figure in the break yesterday which was a shock. They tried, but just couldn’t get into the move that went away. These two will definitely try, maybe Tomasz Marzynski as well. Vanendert has shown he is at a good level.

Nicolas Edet, Jesus Herrada & Daniel Navarro – Like Lotto Soudal, Cofidis missed the break. Herrada tried his best to get there. Edet and Navarro looked great in the Dauphine.

Damiano Caruso – He might try today. Greg Van Avermaet will try and defend yellow again so Caruso might go up the road with him and hunt for that stage win.

Warren Barguil – He lost the time he wanted yesterday, but the question is whether he tries today or goes for Alp d’Huez tomorrow.

Pierre Rolland – May get a go up the road. With Uran struggling with injuries he sustained on stage 9, Rolland might get the green light to go up the road and go for a stage victory.

If it is a battle for GC then

Daniel Martin – Looked very sharp today. He attacked near the top of the climb. He is going to attack on the final climb.

Nairo Quintana – Needs to attack too. He might go for an attack similar to the Tour de Suisse stage he won.

Chris Froome – if Sky control it and grind it down like expected, then Froome could very well ride away from everyone.

Adam Yates – Was up there today and didn’t look troubled.

Romain Bardet – Will probably attack.

Primoz Roglic – If a Lotto NL Jumbo rider attacks, it will be Roglic. Kruijswijk is better off sitting in the peloton.

Jakob Fuglsang – Looked strong and will be well into it.

GC day or Breakaway day? Hard to call.

With this being the second Alpine stage, I think we will see GC riders go for it. If that’s the case, the form that Martin has shown is that he will be hard to drop. If he doesn’t get dropped and is with 1 or 2 others, if Valverde isn’t one of them, he will have the kick to take the stage win.

  1. Dan Martin
  2. Chris Froome
  3. Jakob Fuglsang

Bets 

The big head to head got up yesterday.

Bets I’m on at Crownbet Australia

I am going to try for a couple of long shots for very small stakes

Pawel Poljanski @ $501
Romain Sicard @ $501
Jelle Vanendert @ $251
Gorka Izagirre @ $251
Nicolas Edet @ $251

Steven Kruijswijk over Pierre Latour @ $1.77 (8)

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