The 2019 Giro d’Italia is not over – not by a long shot.
After 11 stages in the General Classification battle, Primoz Roglic leads former winner Vincenzo Nibali by 1 minute and 44 seconds and last year’s Vuelta a Espana winner, Simon Yates by 3 minutes and 46 seconds with Bauke Mollema, Richard Carapaz and others all within that time. With the flat stages over and the big mountains to come, this Giro d’Italia is far from over.
Here are the following standings with the Overall Contenders only.
1. Primoz Roglic
2. Pello Bilbao +1.42
3. Vincenzo Nibali +1.44
4. Bauke Mollema +1.55
5. Bob Jungels +2.18
6. Rafal Majka +2.53
7. Richard Carapaz +3.16
8. Ilnur Zakarin +3.32
9. Simon Yates +3.46
10. Miguel Angel Lopez +4:29.
Primoz Roglic may have a good lead, but we have seen in the past that leads are lost very quickly. The Giro d’Italia is the hardest of the three Grand Tours because of the climbing. The last 10 stages has the hardest profile in recent years with a lot of climbing. If you have expended energy at the moment, then you could struggle in the last part of the race. Roglic has dominated so far, but can he keep it up? With such close odds it will be interesting to place some bets. However, before you do, it is smart to take a look at some operators review like the Betstar review here.
All we need to do is look back at last year. Heading into stage 19, Simon Yates had just over a 3 minute lead on Chris Froome.
Froome famously attacked solo 80km remaining in the stage and wasn’t caught, winning by 3 minutes and taking the overall lead ahead of Tom Dumoulin by 40 seconds. Simon Yates crossed the finish line nearly 39 minutes down that day.
Two years prior to that, in 2016, when Vincenzo Nibali won his second Giro d’Italia, Steven Kruijswijk had a 4 minute and 43 second lead over Vinenzo Nibali and 3 minutes over Esteban Chaves heading into stage 19.
Kruijswijk crashed on a descent, Nibali won the stage with Chaves in third with Chaves taking over the leaders jersey but then losing it to Nibali the following day.
There have been numerous instances over the years where riders with big leads have lost the race. Roglic looks like he is on another level at the moment, but he is also down one of his best team-matesto help him in the mountains in Laurens De Plus who had to abandon last week with injuries following a crash. Some of his rivals have a full team to help their leaders and has at least two riders within 5 minutes of Roglic’s time with Movistar having three.
Astana: Pello Bilbao +1.42 and Miguel Angel Lopez +4.29
Bora Hansgrohe: Davide Formolo +2.52 and Rafal Majka +2.53
Mitchelton Scott: Simon Yates +3.46 and Esteban Chaves +4.30
Movistar: Andrey Amador +0.49, Richard Carapaz +3.16 and Mikel Landa +4.52
Looking at that, Roglic would need to follow every move when these teams attack in the mountains. The thing on his side, however, is the fact that Vincenzo Nibali, Bauke Mollema, Bob Jungels and Ilnur Zakarin are isolated too, so these riders can make an alliance and work together.
Whatever happens, the final 10 stages of the Giro d’Italia is going to be fantastic viewing. The race is only just starting